The archive

When a question's event happens, it comes here with its whole history. This is Faz's public report card: the date it first ruled and the date it ruled last, and the positions people defended, each set against what really happened.

Faz, first date·average miss
Faz, last date·average miss
Positions defended·average miss

Nothing has happened yet. The first question to come true lands here, with every date we gave for it.

What time decides next

The milestones closest to their date. Each is decided the day it comes, with Faz's ruling and the positions people defended.

  1. Dec 2027 Will the Fed's target rate be at or below 3.50% on 31 December 2027? Unlikely by then 01y 01m
  2. Jan 2030 Will the men's marathon world record of 1:59:30 be broken before 1 January 2030? Open question 03y 01m

Sealed milestones

None yet. Each dated claim is decided on its date, with Faz's last ruling and the positions people defended.