When

The big questions of the future, asked the one way that matters: when? People take positions and defend them; Faz, the referee, weighs the evidence and both sides and rules a date, and moves it as the world does. While the evidence is too weak there is no date: the question is watching, still open for argument.

Space When will people live on the Moon for a full year without a break? 2050 Faz's date · most likely 2040–2078 Technology When will driverless taxis carry paying riders in 25 US metro areas? 2028 Faz's date · most likely 2027–2031 Science When will a pig kidney keep a patient off dialysis for a full year? 2027 Faz's date · most likely 2026–2031 Far future When will the world's population peak? 2078 Faz's date · most likely 2060–2094 Technology When will a quantum computer break a 2048-bit RSA key? 2042 Faz's date · most likely 2034–2068 Climate When will global warming pass 1.5°C on a 20-year average? 2029 Faz's date · most likely 2027–2033 Science When will the world go a full calendar year with no wild poliovirus cases? 2031 Faz's date · most likely 2028–2046 Politics When will the European Union have 30 member states? 2035 Faz's date · most likely 2031–2052 Climate When will solar generate more electricity than coal worldwide? 2036 Faz's date · most likely 2032–2044 Science When will the FDA approve a gene-editing therapy that works inside the body? 2027 Faz's date · most likely 2027–2030 Technology When will a magnetic-confinement fusion device reach scientific gain (Q > 1)? 2030 Faz's date · most likely 2028–2042 Sports When will a man run 100 metres faster than 9.58 seconds? 2056 Faz's date · most likely 2032–2089 Space When will astronauts walk on the Moon again? 2030 Faz's date · most likely 2028–2034 Climate When will the Arctic Ocean first be practically ice-free in September? 2048 Faz's date · most likely 2036–2072 Markets When will China's GDP in US dollars pass America's? 2048 Faz's date · most likely 2036–2066 Space When will humans first land on Mars? 2045 Faz's date · most likely 2036–2075 1 question on the road