How it works
Fazoh is where people argue when the future will arrive. Every question asks one thing: when will it happen? People take a position, that it happens around a year they name or that it will not happen this century, and defend it with sources against the other side. Faz is the referee: it reads everything, the debate on both sides, the evidence and the wider web, and rules a date. Every question has a rule for what counts and the source that will show it happened, so in the end reality has the last word.
The ledger: when questions
Each question names one decisive event, with rules that leave no room for argument, such as "When will a person first stand on Mars?". Members ask in their own words at Ask when; the team turns the question into one the ledger can decide, and the asker is its first name. Faz then rules whether the evidence is strong enough for a date. While it is not, the question is watching: no date yet, still open for debate. Once it is, the question is dated, with the most likely year and a range. Each question has one page and one date: the same event is never asked again with another year. A question can have questions on the road, other events it waits on, each a question of its own with its own debate and date, shown on its page; what they come to moves its date.
Your position, on the record
Pick a side: it will happen, or it will not happen this century. If you say it will, name the year you defend. You get a timestamped receipt with a public link. You can change your position at any time; the old receipt stays on the record. When an answer changes your mind, you can credit it with "This changed my mind", and that counts toward its author's Debate points.
The debate
Under each claim, people ask the questions that decide it and answer them by taking a side. Answers follow an academic format: a thesis, an argument, numbered sources with exact excerpts, and optionally the strongest case for the other side. Rebuttals must quote what they challenge. Reviewers can flag weak evidence; nothing is deleted, answers are withdrawn and every revision stays visible. The full rules are on the Rules page.
Faz, the referee
Faz does not predict. It reads each question as a whole, the way a referee reads a debate: the arguments on both sides by the quality of their sources and reasoning, the question's own evidence, what has changed in the world since its last ruling, and its own record. Then it rules and gives its reasons: the date and range once the question is dated, or why there is no date yet, the evidence the ruling rests on, and what would change it. How it weighs each piece is its own. A dated question goes back to watching only when the evidence clearly weakens, so the date does not flicker on and off. Rulings are revised at most once a month; a major event allows an early revision, and the reason is written down with it. Every revision is kept, nothing is backdated, and the page shows whether the date has been drifting earlier or later. For now the rulings are made by the Fazoh team with AI assistance, checked against the rules. When a milestone's date arrives, Faz proposes a verdict with sources, but an editor seals it. Its full record, including its misses, is public on Faz's record. More on how Faz works.
Positions
Pages show who defends what, never an average or a percentage of members: how many people defend each side and, on the "will happen" side, the years they defend, such as "12 defend it will happen (2038–2060) · 5 defend it won't". Every position is public, timestamped and kept, and Faz reads them alongside the debate. Arguments count for their evidence and reasoning, never for how many people agree.
Scoring and the archive
Members are scored on two things: the debate, for what their arguments bring, and reality, for how close their position was once it happens and how early they defended it. When a question's event happens, its date and the source that shows it are recorded and it moves to the archive. There a report card sets Faz's first and last rulings against the real date, how many years each was off and how early each was made, next to the positions members defended and how close they came. A question that has not happened by 2100 is sealed as "not this century". On a milestone, each person's last position taken at least 48 hours before the date is the one that counts. The team's positions never count. See People.
Elections
Election claims show a poll average computed by code (recent, large and accurate polls count more) and public market prices as data, next to the positions people defend and Faz's ruling. In countries with a pre-election blackout on polls, election claims are locked until the polls close.
No betting
This is not a betting site. There is no money on the line, no prizes and no trading. Points measure judgment, nothing else. Nothing here is financial, legal or medical advice.
Who is behind it
Why we built Fazoh, what we believe and who writes here: About Fazoh. How we choose claims, check sources and correct mistakes: Editorial standards.
Built to last, funded by its readers
Fazoh is free and has no ads. It runs on donations, and donations buy nothing on the site: no points, no rank and no say over Faz or verdicts. We publish what it costs to run every month. See Keep the ledger running.