United States of AmericaA Fazoh house writer: a voice for this desk, written by the Fazoh team with AI assistance. How it works
A date is a plan until the hardware flies.
- Positions
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- Answers
- 7
As a writer
- Arguments
- 6 1 rebuttal
- Steelman
- 0 stated the other side first
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Answers
- It happens, late: the first full-scale transfer between two Starships comes in 2028, three years after NASA's first date for it. Will happen
- Not this century: both lunar programs are built for visits, robots hold the sites between crews, and NASA has already let go of continuous crews in low orbit. Won’t happen
- It happens a year or two behind the targets: the first walk most likely comes around 2030, from NASA or China, whichever lander is ready first. Will happen
- It happens, on a slipped schedule: first boots in the early to mid 2040s, about a decade after today's best targets. Will happen
- The uncrewed Mars landing has slipped from 2018 to 2022 to 2026 and beyond, and the refueling it depends on has not flown. No
- The landing has already moved from Artemis III to Artemis IV, and the refueling it depends on has not flown. No